Third Chechen war. On the eve of the “Third Chechen War”

20 years have passed since the beginning of the first Chechen war. In the modern history of Russia, it passed like a bloody scar through our people. The betrayal of the Russians after 1991, when the Chechen Republic was helped to get back on its feet, by ghouls from the Kremlin. They left the weapons depots, withdrew the troops, dragged Dudayev, not forgetting to give him the rank of major general, but somehow it doesn’t turn out well, he became a colonel. They abandoned the Russian population to be devoured by the militants, who, having previously disarmed them, proceeded to outright genocide. Refugees, who are still of no use to anyone, have fled all over the country, some settling down somewhere. Russia betrayed them again.

Then the bloody massacre of 1995-1996, when conscripts shut up the Chechen front. But people learn everything, conscripts also learned how to fight, they began to press the bearded men to the mountains and would have put the squeeze, but Khosavyurt struck. Some took it as a betrayal, of which there was a lot in this war, some as peace, some as a respite . Chechnya began to live a virtually independent life, establishing misanthropic laws on the territory of the republic.

Russia survived until the second Chechen war. There are battles again, although the intensity is no longer at the level of 1995-1996, but it is still a war. Result? They put the “loyal” Akhmat Kadyrov on the throne in the republic. While the remnants of the irreconcilable were being pacified, Kadyrov the elder was killed. And then Ramzan Kadyrov appeared, the hero of Russia, who killed the first Russian (in his words) at the age of 16. And it doesn’t matter that he celebrated his 16th birthday even before the first Chechen war. Add sixteen years to even birth (1976). Which Russian did he kill in 1992-1993? Are there any options?

Many years have passed since then. Kadyrov Jr. still rules a virtually independent republic, receiving a huge tribute from Moscow, which he spends, here we will give him his due, partly on the republic and its people. I didn’t make a reservation, yes, I think Chechnya, despite the propaganda cries about “too territory” of Russia, a de facto independent republic that is subordinate to Kadyrov personally, and he, in turn, personally (for now, of course) to Putin. He keeps them not only so that they don’t get shot. You will see them in full glory if, after all, the people in Russia decide to change the government to the people’s. The boys will turn around to the fullest. They will drown the people in blood so that only Allah Vladimirovich can be saved.

Why am I writing all this? Briefly, I remember the events as I saw them over all these years. During this time, many times the Kremlin “comrades” spat in people’s souls: they gave Kadyrov the title of Hero of Russia, did not interfere with the persecution of Russian officers, requests for which the Chechen prosecutor’s office considered it necessary to send out, someone was imprisoned, someone was killed, like Budanov, someone is being persecuted until so far.

Where am I leading with all this? And I want to ask people's opinions. Do you think that Chechnya is now an ordinary subject of Russia that will not take up arms against us again? Are you sure that Chechnya, raised from the ashes at the expense of the internal regions of Russia, rebuilt, with various privileges, receiving a huge tribute from the Kremlin, again armed to the teeth, with a younger generation of Chechen youth who have grown up, for whom there is only one goal in life - to live beautiful, but, without straining for this, will not take up the old again? What if we stop paying tribute, and if we force them to work like other regions of the country, remove preferences, and squeeze the Chechen freemen who have fled across Russia? What then?

For me, the answer is obvious: having gotten used to living at the expense of others, they will take up the old ways again. Moreover, add to this:

1. The clans that were pinned down during Kadyrov’s reign are now thirsty for revenge and blood. Does Kadyrov share with other clans? Hasn't he squeezed everyone over the years? Did they forget?

2. Irreconcilables, who are still running around the mountains and who, for some reason, can’t be pinned down by everyone, although it seems like we “rose from our knees”, and Kadyrov supposedly controls the territory of the entire republic. Although, judging by the security with which he rides, I I don't think so.

3. Besides tribute from Moscow, what other sources of income does he have in Chechnya?

4. Intersection of interests with Dagestan and Ingushetia (for example), when the Chechens began to interfere in the neighboring republics of the North Caucasus. Do you think they have peace and love among themselves?

5. If in Russia, real patriots come to power, and not the traitors who are now sitting in the Kremlin and begin to bring the republic to a common denominator with the rest of the country?

6. Remember the last years: the Arab Spring, the war in Syria, the destruction of Libya, Afghanistan, chaos in Africa. Remember the common thread of all these events? A huge mass of motivated, Islamist militants from all over the world who do not “have citizenship” and attachment to one geographical point in the form of a homeland. For whom the Motherland is the future global caliphate. How many of them will want to take part in a new war, how many of them will be set against each other? Previously, such a factor did not exist. And now?

Then, in my opinion, the third Chechen war will begin. But it will be different from the first two. Why? See below.

Tell me, cheers Putinites, by what law does such a phenomenon exist in Chechnya as a YOUNG FORTRESS? This is just one example. Can you imagine something like this, somewhere near Kostroma or Smolensk? And so that the ethnic composition of such a camp would be 100% Russian, so that Russian youth would be trained throughout the country like this? 282 art. The minimum of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation is provided immediately.

Did you know that Kadyrov is protected by Russian GRU special forces? And okay, he’s just guarding, but recently, in his ranks there was a person who began training Kadyrov’s men. But this is one of the best GRU special forces instructors. This man trains former, and possibly future, militants. And after all, he is Russian - Martynov. He worked as Kadyrov’s security guard and now trains his militants. Kadyrov’s words are especially touching that these are instructors of the future training center, that he did not have such equipment (when he probably fought against Russia), that he could not find specialists, but here they helped. In general, listen carefully to Kadyrov’s words.
Money is everything. That video has been deleted.

In addition to all this, there are many other units in Chechnya whose training is carried out according to special training.

This is no longer an improvised local militia, although motivated by the first and second Chechen wars. The youngsters who went through the first two wars have grown up and matured, these are adults. A new generation of Chechens has grown up, the demographics in the republic have broken records, the loss of fighters has been more than made up for. It will be more difficult to pacify such a Chechnya. And their love for Russians has not increased. Just as they believe that they have brought Moscow to its knees and are receiving tribute, they believe so. And try to take it away.

P.S. Bonus. Tell me, Putinists, except for Chechen children, they transport everyone around Russia like this, at public expense?
Why in Turkey and not in Sochi for example? Just imagine these numbers - up to 20,000 Chechen children per year.

Russia is fighting in the third Chechen war. The cruelty of Chechen terrorists in this war can only be compared with the incompetence of Russian leaders. Incredible, but true: neither Patrushev nor Nurgaliev resigned. In North Ossetia...

Russia is fighting in the third Chechen war.

The cruelty of the Chechen terrorists in this war can only be matched by the incompetence of the Russian commanders.

Incredible, but true: neither Patrushev nor Nurgaliev resigned.

A rally was held in North Ossetia demanding the resignation of Dzasokhov. In Russia, rallies were held according to the order, in which protest against terror smoothly flowed into glorification of those who disgraced themselves in Beslan. Before our eyes, the authorities are trying to use their own helplessness to establish a dictatorship.

Let's face it: Beslan could not help but end in tragedy. Russia is not Hollywood. If there are 1,200 hostages in a school entangled with wires, if an explosive device is pressed by a terrorist’s foot, if a terrorist shoots a three-year-old child in the head in front of a Muslim mother with the words “Your faith is nothing. Believe in Allah,” there is no happy ending in this situation.

No matter how cynical it may be, from a PR point of view, Russia is still lucky. Because if the assault had not begun spontaneously, then the Ossetian militia would have fired not at the militants, but at Alpha: then it stood there to prevent the assault.

And there was no other option other than an assault: the authorities do not negotiate at gunpoint. The Russian government is especially brave when the gun is not pointed at its head.

The incompetence of the authorities became the catalyst for death.

There were 1,200 hostages, but another figure was publicly announced: 350. I don’t care if they lied to me. During a terrorist attack, terrorist disinformation is more important than public information. But this lie was not for salvation, but for death. It was upon hearing the number “350” that the brutal terrorists stopped giving the children water and they were forced to drink their own urine. “They said 350 - so it will remain 350,” the terrorists shouted.

The terrorists' demands were conveyed to President Putin. “They are not making any demands,” the federal media reported, and the terrorists took this message as a death sentence.

The terrorists wanted to talk to President Zyazikov. Zyazikov turned off his mobile phone and disappeared. Ruslan Aushev entered the school. I called on my cell phone in front of the school building, said “I’m coming,” and went inside. Came out with 26 women and infants. So it was possible to negotiate? So, it was possible to take some of the children out of the building before the assault began?

In Beslan there were the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Nurgaliev and the head of the FSB Patrushev. They did not negotiate themselves. Others were not allowed. The Ossetian militia was not removed. The situation was not under control. But Patrushev and Nurgaliev were not fired. So far, the only person fired as a result of Beslan is Izvestia editor-in-chief Raf Shakirov.

"Why don't you meet Osama bin Laden?" - the Russian president explained to foreigners the behavior of his ministers.

No need. If bin Laden had taken over a school in Oklahoma, they would have negotiated with him. At any level, up to the highest. This is an axiom for all intelligence services in the world: it is imperative to enter into negotiations with terrorists, not to fulfill their demands, but to create the illusion of a peace process, to calm them down before the assault. And one should not confuse the two meanings of the word “negotiation”: negotiations in the sense of “surrender” and negotiations in the sense of “strategy”. Going for the first is the same crime as not going for the second. There is no need to pass off incompetence as inflexibility.

“Some want to tear off a fatter piece from us, others are helping them,” the president explained the reason for the war. TV journalist Mikhail Leontyev clarified that these “someones” are Americans.

The terrorist Vladimir Khodov, who was put on the wanted list, lived quietly in his native village. No way, the cops there were American agents? Khan Pasha Kulaev was captured in battle in August 2001, Mairbek Shaybekhanov in the fall of 2003. Who released them - American agents or bought cops?

The same cops whose strengthening we are promised. Those same cops, which included the “heroically deceased” elder Ali Taziev - aka Evloev, aka Colonel, aka Magas.

The third Chechen war began on June 22, 2004 - with a terrorist operation near Nazran. The authorities celebrated its beginning with a memorial plaque in honor of the only hero of the first Chechen war - Akhmat Kadyrov. For two days, it was ordered to say about the civilian planes shot down in the war that they fell of their own accord. Now we are being asked to strengthen the power of those to whom we owe national shame.

Now they are telling us that everyone who was in Beslan is heroes. That is, both the fighters of the FSB TsSN, who gave their lives to save children, and their bosses, who fell into thought.

"Alpha" and "Vympel" saved not only children. They saved Russia's reputation by rushing into battle without a plan, without body armor - in fact, contrary to their own professional training. But that is precisely why it is blasphemous to equate fallen soldiers with living mediocrities. This is the same as rewarding the tsarist minister Sukhomlinov, who was fired for corruption and espionage for the Germans, for Brusilov’s breakthrough.

Russia is at war. Only a strong government can win a war. But it cannot be won by those who take bribes from the leaders and kulaevs. Those who cannot decide to drive away the civilian militia from the school. A war cannot be won by rallying around those who have long denied its beginning.

The “Third Chechen” meme is gaining popularity. And along with popularity, reality begins to conquer. You underestimate Ramzan Akhmatovich! No one knows where exactly he will throw the smoldering wick. Even him. Even the Kremlin. Even the Saudis.

1. Pourquoi pas?

The “Third Chechen” meme is gaining popularity. And along with popularity, reality begins to conquer. There are just doubts: who will actually conquer whom?

To answer this important question, it would be nice to clarify who will fight with whom, which side will initiate the war, and what are the goals of the war among its participants.

2. Why do they even fight?

4. The second side of the confrontation

It would seem that everything is simple: one side is Kadyrov’s Chechnya, and the other is Putin’s Russia. Is that all? The Russian Federation is running out of money not only for Chechnya, but completely. Half of the combat-ready Russian army (not to be confused with the entire Russian army!) is stuck in the Donbass, the remaining half is smeared in a thin layer from Crimea to Central Asia, even in the Far East something seems to be moving. Russian special forces are drained of blood by direct losses, as well as by non-extended and interrupted contracts. The special forces of the Strategic Missile Forces especially suffered - they were targeted everywhere, because it’s not a pity, anyway, they were mainly guarding dummies. Of course, there are promising young people, but they still have to be taught and taught, since the educational ability of Russians, thanks to spiritual bonds, is weak. The lack of prospects for the country as a whole (as soon as sanctions end, reparations begin) opens up a number of private prospects for the regions.

5. What is the situation in the North Caucasus (continued)

a) The Ingush have complaints about the Chechens of the Kadyrov spill - who is older than who and whether there is an eldest among them at all. Family matters. They can be easily resolved without Kadyrov, and even with him, at least postponing them is quite possible.

b) But the Ingush have not simple claims to North Ossetia, but territorial ones - an echo of deportation. According to their decision, which with the weakening of Moscow takes on the features of realism, even Kadyrov can be temporarily friends, and he will be very happy with his ally (and covered flank) - if he doesn’t fail, of course.

c) Dagestan, like Chechnya, has some of its own oil (and gas). Even slightly more than Chechnya, but the main thing is that there are prospects for a significant increase in its production. After the collapse of the USSR, the coastal states did not divide the Caspian shelf: for the Russian Federation, with its scale, these are tears, and the Russians are always pleased to spoil the former fraternal republics. Dagestan is very heterogeneous and many people there will want to fight for promising oil (production, refining, export). That is, Dagestan will be busy with itself, armed neutrality will in fact be formed with Chechnya, and Moscow’s attempts to indicate its presence there, playing along with different clans in turn, will only divert the already scarce resources of the feds. In general, Kadyrov’s second flank is also covered, again, if you don’t stick it in.

d) Karachay-Cherkessia and Kabardino-Balkaria - . Poverty of the population, nepotism and corruption of the elite, and of course traditions with spiritual bonds, only not Orthodox, but Muslim. Islamist attacks are still futile (despite significant tactical successes) due to the large and still combat-ready reserves of the center stationed in the Stavropol region. These enclaves of feudalism will not be able to cause harm to Kadyrov, but they will be able to distract the enemy a couple of times.

e) The Stavropol region (like the neighboring region, Krasnodar) is saturated with Russian troops. Not all of them are combat-ready, but they can try to serve as a base for rest and supply for a warring group, provide it with marching reinforcements, cover headquarters, hospitals, communications centers, technical intelligence, electronic warfare, air bases, communications and various warehouses. They will not succeed suddenly, since the Chechens feel almost at home in the Stavropol Territory, so before starting the next campaign to restore territorial integrity, the Russians will have to tinker a lot with the rear, and then it will be fun in the rear.

6. Lyrical digression

The question may arise: why didn’t the above problems arise in Russia earlier, fortunately, there were enough reasons? So after all, the mentioned reasons were the result of those same problems, it’s just that fires were previously managed to be extinguished with money. And it’s not just a matter of rising prices for hydrocarbons: in the nineties and early 2000s they were very low (in fact, it was the USSR that finished it off). The West in general and the United States, first of all, pumped an enormous amount of money into the Russian Federation through various programs of assistance, training, the formation of institutions of democracy and civil society, even nuclear disarmament. Now the Kremlin calls all this subversive activity, happily stroking the pockets where the help mostly ended up. True, having found in their pockets not real money, but electronic cards for accounts in Western banks, a slight shadow of concern falls on their enlightened faces, but faith in the inviolability of the presumption of innocence outside the Russian Federation, and in the qualifications of hired lawyers, restore confidence in the future, and the shadows fall from the faces. Holy simplicity. Gaddafi thought so too. But Firtash still thinks so.

However, part of that money was used to extinguish various conflicts. Some things were extinguished, others burned in a controlled manner right up to the rise in oil prices. Then in Chechnya they bribed the Kadyrovs and Yamadayevs (as usual, the highlanders only had one left), and in other places they coped similarly, although less epically. But money, just like honey, tends to run out. Moreover, this time no one is going to invest in the stability of the Russian Federation (sanctions, and in the future reparations, will discourage anyone). Even by selling off territories, you won’t be able to really make money - there are few people willing, and those who exist want to buy in bulk inexpensively.

When the money runs out, the bonds weaken and the domino principle begins to work.

7. What is the situation in the Northern Caucasus (end) and the Caucasus in general

An impostor (a third term is prohibited by the Russian Constitution) is distributing Russian lands. For example, China. And the Russian shelf is giving away. For example, Norway. It also distributes Russian mountains, mountain meadows and mountain rivers. For example, Azerbaijan. At the expense of Dagestan. Moreover, he distributes it so cleverly that the Dagestanis in the border areas remain to live in the Russian Federation, and the territories where they earned their living go to the neighboring country. So if young independent Dagestan manages to avoid a major civil war (and there will be a minor one in any case), then it will face a major war with Azerbaijan (and there will be a minor one in any case). For the Russians’ tradition of spoiling their brothers is ineradicable: first Karabakh, then Moldova, then Georgia, now Ukraine, and the turn of Karabakh in particular and Armenia in general is about to come again. As soon as the Maidan there wins in Yerevan, it will begin immediately. It's a "usual" thing. Azerbaijan and Armenia will clash again in the clinch. On whose side will the Russian “vacationers” fight this time? Guess. Three times. The third option is for both. You won’t guess: they will fight where and when the Kremlin says. And at different times different things will be said.

8. Subtotal

At the center of this cluster of powder kegs is Chechnya. In the center of Chechnya, which is also not completely explosion-proof, Ramzan Kadyrov is located and plays with a smoldering fuse. Moreover, he has been there without leaving for quite a long time. No need to go to Moscow to get some fresh air. Diseases interfere. Ramzan is generally healthy, but lately he has been getting sick often. Yes, little things. These little things don’t interfere with leading a small homeland, but it’s impossible to go to Moscow, the capital of a large homeland. Apparently, Kadyrov is that rare Caucasian for whom the Moscow climate is not suitable. Individual feature. Manifested at the age of full bloom.

Speaking of the wick. Ramzan has plenty to do in Chechnya. The flow of money from Moscow is drying up both due to the “easing” of the ruble and in general. On the other hand (if you look at the globe, almost literally) full-fledged money began to flow from Saudi Arabia. For the development of oil production and refining infrastructure. In Moscow they seem to believe this, but they don’t tell the general public, just in case. Reinsurers.

9. Scientific and technical retreat

a) A completely black body is a physical abstraction used in thermodynamics and optics. An idealized body that absorbs all electromagnetic radiation incident on it in all ranges and does not reflect anything.

b) The black swan (lat. Cygnus atratus) is a bird from the genus of swans (Cygnus) of the duck family (Anatidae). In a flock they usually fly in a wedge formation.

c) The concept of “Black Swan” (from Nassim Nicholas Taleb) is an event that has three properties:

1. It is unusual and beyond our expectations.
2. The consequences of this event are extremely great.
3. Despite the unusual nature of this event, human nature forces us to come up with such explanations for this event that it looks explainable and predictable in hindsight. That is, the event is unpredictable in advance.

d) I am introducing a new concept into circulation: “Absolutely black swan” is the leader of a whole wedge of ordinary “black swans”. The same problem is that she doesn’t walk alone.

10. The result is final and irrevocable

Kadyrov takes money from everyone and does not return it. Just like an absolutely black body does with electromagnetic radiation. Because he's not a coward. He is generally strong, powerful, purposeful, and smart. Typical leader. Head of the clan. And the head of the wedge of “black swans”. In life, single “black swans” are not so rare, but they are not always noticed, since they only destroy rotten structures. And a stable country, system, business bends under the pressure of the Black Swan, but does not break. But when a whole wedge of “black swans” with a well-fed leader at the head swoops down on a victim of circumstances, it doesn’t seem like much to anyone, let alone some kind of raw materials superpower-super-appendage.

It is precisely because of the totality of the above that I call Ramzan “Absolutely Black Swan” of Russia.

An attentive reader may object that Kadyrov does not possess the third property of even an ordinary “Black Swan” - unpredictability.

You underestimate Ramzan Akhmatovich! No one knows where exactly he will throw the smoldering wick. Even him. Even the Kremlin. Even the Saudis. That’s why I don’t give a detailed forecast: something will go boom somewhere, then the rest will go boom. What exactly, where, in what sequence - no idea.

And who will defeat and conquer whom - what difference does it make to us, Ukrainians?

“Chechnya is an object that has been chosen by the West and Europe in recent years to destroy the sovereign state of Russia. I am ready to take full responsibility so that our people can live well, and I am ready to spend my whole life in prison to prevent a third military campaign in republic,” said the head of Chechnya.

On January 22, 2016, a rally "" took place in Grozny. People came out with portraits of Russian President and head of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov, recalls RIA Novosti. The rally participants carried banners reading “You need great upheavals, we need a great Russia” and “I am for Kadyrov.” It is estimated that the rally was attended by.

However, Kadyrov himself does not agree with this. In his opinion, a million residents of Chechnya gathered at the rally, and if the Chechen authorities called for participation in the rally, then even more - tens of millions. It is worth adding that as of December 1, 2015, according to the State Statistics Committee for Chechnya, the entire population of the republic was . Of these, about 283.7 thousand people live in Grozny.

“I believe that there were more than 800 thousand people participating in the rally. I was told that in only one column arriving from Dagestan there were more than 500 cars, and there were several such columns. They came today to support the policy of our national leader Vladimir Putin,” Ramzan Kadyrov said.

In his opinion, the non-systemic opposition is trying to profit from the difficult economic situation in Russia. The head of Chechnya called on such people to be treated as such and judged for their subversive activities. “There shouldn’t be people in Russia who agree with the West and Europe and pursue policies to collapse the country,” added the head of Chechnya.

These statements by Kadyrov had previously caused a protest from the Russian Commissioner for Human Rights, Ella Pamfilova.

A number of politicians and public figures criticized such statements. In particular, the Commissioner for Human Rights in Russia, Ella Pamfilova, stated that it is impossible to organize a “witch hunt.”

Later, Kadyrov, responding to criticism about his statement about non-systemic opposition, clarified that he did not mean “legitimate opposition” that raises fundamental issues, but.

Chairman of the Chechen Parliament Magomed Daudov spoke. He emphasized that an information-terrorist war of unprecedented scale and insidiousness was being waged against the Russian leadership, and promised to unleash Kadyrov’s shepherd dog on the oppositionists.

“Russia began to declare itself as a strong and self-respecting state, which has its own views on what is happening in the world... This, apparently, did not please those who do not want to see our multinational power strong and independent. With today’s rally, the Russians once again showed that they support Ramzan Kadyrov, whose name has become a factor of peace, stability and order,” Daudov said.

Third Chechen War

A third Chechen war is possible. The Kremlin's main policy in the Caucasus is appeasing the aggressor. In the case of Chechnya, the Kremlin is trying by any means to buy Kadyrov’s favor and try to come to an agreement with him, showing maximum loyalty to him. This explains the abolition of the counter-terrorist operation (CTO) regime in Chechnya. Any desires, any requests, and even more so Kadyrov’s demands are implemented by the Kremlin.

I believe that the Kremlin is making a very serious mistake, since we already had experience of pacification in Chechnya, when in 1996 General Lebed signed the famous Khasavyurt agreements. We remember how this turned out for all of Russia. I am afraid that in this situation, when literally every day we receive reports from the North Caucasus about new clashes with militants, the abolition of the CTO regime will not lead to anything good. It will only lead to increased terrorist activity by militants and to casualties among Russian citizens.

Therefore, I have an extremely negative attitude towards this and believe that this is a short-sighted decision and it will cost us very dearly. It is already possible to raise the question of when the third Chechen war will begin, or rather, not the Chechen, but the Caucasian war, since the current situation clearly demonstrates that the North Caucasus is turning into a region of constant danger of terrorism, a stronghold of terrorism, and Moscow simply does not know what will happen to do this.

I have always advocated and advocate that if you fight terrorists, then fight for real. To do this, it is necessary to declare a regime of martial law, to officially recognize that an armed rebellion is taking place in the North Caucasus, and not to invent some new legal terms like a counter-terrorism operation and thereby put military personnel who are performing their duty in an unclear legal position. Because, on the one hand, they seem to be at war, and on the other hand, they are obliged to act in war according to the laws of peacetime.

And in the end, we see that Budanov is being tried, Ulman is being tried, Arakcheev and others are being tried.

If this were a real state of emergency, then in this situation the constitutional rights of military personnel taking part in hostilities would be protected by law. I repeat once again that you either have to fight or you have to leave. And such a situation - no war, no peace, but disbanding the army - will not lead to anything good.

In the event of the abolition of the CTO regime, Chechnya will receive its own international airport and its own customs office. This already happened under Dudayev, when Russia gave Chechnya such opportunities and as a result, Chechnya turned into a black hole, from where smuggling began en masse, the export of its wealth from Russia and, accordingly, the import of drugs, weapons and everything else into Russia.

I have a hard time imagining how the federal center will be able to control Chechen customs. It is clear that there will be people appointed by Kadyrov, that these people will submit only to him and will not have anything to do with the Russian Customs Committee, they will only formally submit to him. But they will act on their own, and apart from damage to the Russian budget, this will do nothing.